According to on-chain data analyst @ai_9684xtpa's monitoring, the probability of Polymarket predicting that "WLFI's FDV will exceed $13.00 billion on the first day of launch" is 56%.
In terms of institutional costs, a total of 5 institutions (Tron DAO / Web3Port / Oddiyana Ventures / DWF Labs/ Aqua1 Fund) participated in strategic round financing, investing at least $210.0 million; among the institutions with known costs, DWF Labs' cost is 2 times that of Web3Port.
In terms of public offering costs, two rounds of public fundraising raised a total of $550.0 million: the first round raised 300 million yuan at a cost of $0.015, which is the lowest among the currently disclosed costs; the second round raised $250.0 million, and the cost increased to $0.05, which is the same as Web3Port's book cost, far lower than DWF's cost. If the first-day FDV really reaches $13.00 billion, the rate of return for the first round of public offering will be as high as 867%, and the second round will also have 260%. In addition, there is an uncertain factor, "TGE unlock ratio," which needs to wait for the transferable proposal to be approved before it can be further clarified. [Odaily Planet Daily]