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Ahead of the non-farm payroll data, the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September on Polymarket has fallen to 38%.

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Aug 1, 2025

August 1st, the U.S. non-farm payroll data will be released tonight, and the market generally expects that the data will have a significant impact on the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision in September.

As of press time, the probability of a "25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September" on Polymarket has dropped to 38.00%, while the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged has risen to 60.00%. [BlockBeats]

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