Here is the English version of the xWIN Index for July 18, 2025:
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📊 [xWIN Index｜July 18, 2025, 7:00 AM JST]
🧮 xWIN Index Score: 83 / 100 (↑ +3 from previous day)
A proprietary mid-term index projecting 1-month forward trends in the crypto market.
Details 👉 https://t.co/8kX80aBeIe
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🔍 Market Overview Highlights:
1. 24H Trading Volume: Approx. $142.1B (↑ +9.1%)
→ $ETH surged past $3,480, ETH/BTC ratio spiked to its highest since 2023. $BTC remains firm above $122K. Institutions continue leading the alt-driven market.
2. MACD: Bullish cross continues on 1H and 4H charts for both $BTC and $ETH
→ $ETH saw cascading short squeezes, maintaining strong bullish momentum in the short-to-mid term.
3. MVRV: 2.19 (↑ +0.06)
→ Entering overheated territory, yet still justified by ETF inflows and institutional/sovereign accumulation.
4. Fear & Greed Index: 88 (↑ +2 | Extreme Greed)
→ Optimism driven by Trump’s crypto policy shift, dovish Fed outlook, and macro tailwinds.
https://t.co/WggW5M5FJe Interest:
• $BTC OI: 781,200 $BTC (↑ +0.78%)
• $ETH OI: 9,121,000 $ETH (↑ +1.94%)
→ $ETH derivatives volume and OI hit all-time highs. Capital concentration continues.
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💵 Stablecoin Trends (24H):
📌 $USDT (Tether)
• Market Cap: $166.3B (↑ +1.34%)
• Volume: ~$161.8B (↑ +1.7%)
→ $2.5B freshly minted; institutional prep suspected amid ETF flows.
📌 $USDC (Circle)
• Market Cap: $70.1B (↑ +0.57%)
• Volume: ~$22.4B (↑ +2.6%)
→ Cross-chain activity and tokenized securities demand increasing.
📌 JPYC (JPY-pegged)
• Market Cap: $16.54M (↑ +1.0%)
→ Demand growing via Web3 adoption by Japanese corporations.
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🌏 Trending Topics on X (formerly Twitter):
• GENIUS & CLARITY Acts passed in U.S. Congress = major regulatory clarity milestone
• Trump administration announces capital gains tax exemption for $BTC payments + de minimis policy proposal
• $ETH spot ETF flows go parabolic; BlackRock submits staking ETF filing
• BITMINE confirmed to hold over 300,000 $ETH = institutional arms race intensifies
• Jump Crypto swaps 11.8K stETH → $ETH and transfers to exchanges (watch for short-term sell pressure)
• BSTR launches with 30,021 $BTC, becomes 4th-largest corporate holder
• Volcan Inc. to invest $500M in $BTC as corporate treasury strategy
• Global rate-cut tally reaches 64 = macro support for crypto intensifies
• French Parliament proposes national Bitcoin mining pilot program
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✅ Overall Assessment:
• Realized Market Cap: Approx. $3.31T (↑ +3.8%)
• RSI: 94 (Overbought Zone)
→ xWIN Index Score: 83 (↑ +3)
→ Market firmly in “Alt-Led Bull Phase.” Macro policy shifts, ETF inflows, and corporate demand form a bullish trifecta.
Still, caution is warranted due to overheated RSI and potential for liquidation spikes.
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📈 Strategy Insights:
• Buy-the-Dip Zone: $129,500–$131,000
• Take-Profit Range: $136,000–$144,000
• Warning Level: Drop below $118,000 = temporary top signal
→ Recommended Strategy: Gradual dip buying in $ETH & $BTC, combined with layered take-profits.
Capitalize on ETF/policy/corporate catalysts, while managing FOMO with structured exits.
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