📊【xWIN Index｜July 11, 2025, 7:00 JST】
🧮 xWIN Index Score: 68 / 100 points (+5 from the previous day)
This index is a short- to mid-term indicator looking one month ahead.
Details 👉 https://t.co/8kX80aBeIe
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🔍 Market Overview Highlights:
1. 24H Trading Volume: ~$93.2 billion (+8.2% from the previous day)
→ Bitcoin climbed to $113,500, and $ETH maintained above $2,800. Exchange inflows hit a 10-year low, signaling tight supply-demand conditions. Strong corporate treasury strategies and institutional demand act as tailwinds.
2. MACD: Golden cross sustained on 1-hour chart
→ Bullish momentum continues. However, spot and futures positions are showing divergence, suggesting caution for short-term corrections.
3. MVRV: 1.91 (+0.03 from previous day)
→ Realization of profits is increasing, but strong institutional buying and supply shocks are providing support.
4. Fear & Greed Index: 71 (+5 from previous day | Greed)
→ Strong FOMO sentiment intensifying, supporting further inflows.
5. Open Interest: 715,800 $BTC (+1.4%)
→ Aggressive buildup of new long positions. $ETH Open Interest reached an all-time high at 8,060,259 ETH.
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💵 Stablecoin Trends (compared to previous day):
📌 $USDT (Tether)
Market Cap: $161.1 billion (+0.12%)
Volume: ~$137.5 billion (+5.4%)
→ Maintaining strong demand and stable supply.
📌 $USDC (Circle)
Market Cap: $67.9 billion (+0.44%)
Volume: ~$17.4 billion (+3.6%)
→ Expected to expand further with Ant Group integrating $USDC for global settlements.
📌 JPYC (JPY-pegged)
Market Cap: $15.89 million (+0.25%)
→ Domestic conservative fund flows remain steady.
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🌏 Key Topics on X:
• $BTC reached $113,500 — new all-time high
• $ETH overtook $BTC in 24H futures volume (ETH: $62.1B vs BTC: $61.7B)
• Robinhood launched $ETH and $SOL staking services, accelerating DeFi adoption
• US Treasury officially scrapped crypto broker reporting requirements — major win for the industry
• Fed to restart “money printer” in Q3–Q4, expected trillions in market inflows
• President Trump called for rapid rate cuts — strong tailwind for risk assets
• GameSquare completed first $ETH purchase ($5M), strategic long-term hold begins
• Sequans acquired 370 $BTC, plans to buy over 3,000 more
• Nasdaq-listed K Wave Media raised $1B for $BTC treasury strategy
• BlackRock invested $158M in $ETH and $125M in $BTC
• Ant Group to integrate $USDC into global payment platforms
• KuCoin passed Proof of Reserves audit — strengthened user trust
• S&P500 closed at a record 6,280 — further fueling risk-on sentiment
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✅ Overall Assessment:
• Realized Market Cap: ~$2.73 trillion (+3.0% from previous day)
• RSI: 80 (highly overheated)
→ xWIN Index Score: 68 points (+5 from previous day)
→ $BTC and $ETH hitting new all-time highs, with strong corporate and institutional buying, regulatory easing, and monetary stimulus creating strong momentum. However, caution is advised due to high RSI and potential profit-taking pressure.
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📈 Strategy Tips:
• Buy Dip Support Zone: $112,000–$114,000
• Take-Profit Zone: $118,000–$123,000
• Caution Line: Below $107,000 = short-term bearish shift
→ Core strategy: Gradual dip buying and diversified profit-taking focused on $ETH and BTC. Risk management and flexible re-entry strategies are key in this high-volatility phase.
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