📊【xWIN Index｜July 9, 2025, 7:00 JST】
🧮 xWIN Index Score: 59 / 100 points (up 2 points from the previous day)
This index is a short- to mid-term indicator looking one month ahead.
Details 👉 https://t.co/8kX80aBeIe
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🔍 Market Highlights:
1. 24H Trading Volume: ~$81.3 billion (up 2.0% from the previous day)
→ DEX trading volume remains high. A strong bullish mood led by $ETH, while $BTC remains flat. Geopolitical and tariff risks persist, but $ETH’s momentum is improving overall market sentiment.
2. MACD: Golden cross maintained on the 1-hour chart
→ Short-term momentum is strong, but RSI at 74 signals overheating and a continued risk of short-term pullbacks.
3. MVRV: 1.85 (up 0.02)
→ Profit-taking pressure remains, but strong $ETH fundamentals help balance the market.
4. Fear & Greed Index: 62 (up 3 | Greed)
→ Market sentiment is increasingly bullish, with FOMO starting to resurge.
5. Open Interest: 698,400 $BTC (+0.5%)
→ Institutional and VIP-driven open interest continues to rise, though positioning remains cautiously built.
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💵 Stablecoin Trends (vs previous day):
📌 $USDT (Tether)
Market Cap: $160.7 billion (+0.12%)
Volume: ~$129.7 billion (+0.9%)
→ Strong and stable demand, liquidity remains high.
📌 USDC (Circle)
Market Cap: $67.3 billion (+0.45%)
Volume: ~$16.5 billion (+3.1%)
→ Rising DeFi and institutional demand.
📌 JPYC (JPY-pegged)
Market Cap: $15.78 million (+0.10%)
→ Conservative domestic demand remains stable.
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🌏 Trends on X:
• $ETH leverage surges, Open Interest +10.65% — strong bullish trend but overheating risk
• Aptos RWA TVL up 55% — strong ecosystem growth
• Solana RWA at an all-time high — user count up 631% in 30 days
• US House designates "Crypto Week" — active regulatory framework discussions
• Sequans raises $384M to buy $BTC — starts $BTC treasury strategy
• SharpLink holds 205,634 $ETH — gained +322 $ETH via staking rewards
• Truth Social files S-1 for "Crypto Blue Chip ETF" — holdings include $BTC, $ETH, SOL, etc.
• Binance maintains 37% $BTC spot market share — clear dominance
• Trump criticizes Fed Chair Powell — intensifies rate cut pressure
• Pakistan establishes Virtual Assets Regulatory Authority — focus on consumer protection and investment attraction
• Tether builds Swiss gold vault — holds $8B worth of gold, bolstering reserves
• Russia officially using $BTC for international settlements — geopolitical adoption expands
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✅ Overall Evaluation:
• Realized Market Cap: ~$2.57 trillion (up 1.6%)
• RSI: 74 (overheating intensifies)
→ xWIN Index Score: 59 points (up 2 points)
→ Strong ETH-led bullish sentiment, supported by large institutional and corporate purchases. However, short-term overheating and geopolitical risks warrant caution. Flexible profit-taking and staged re-entries are key.
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📈 Strategy Tips:
• Dip buy zone: $106,500 – $108,500
• Profit-taking zone: $112,500 – $117,000
• Warning line: break below $102,500 = short-term bearish signal
→ Core Strategy: Leverage strong $ETH fundamentals, combine phased dip buying and distributed profit-taking. Flexibility is essential to handle short-term volatility and policy risks.
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