📊【xWIN Index｜July 4, 2025, 7:00 JST】
🧮 xWIN Index Score: 67 / 100 points (±0 from the previous day)
This index is a short- to mid-term indicator with a one-month outlook.
Details 👉 https://t.co/8kX80aBeIe
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🔍 Market Highlights:
1. 24H Trading Volume: ~$80.5B (up +0.9% from previous day)
→ DEX volumes are approaching $500B monthly, signaling rapid growth in decentralized exchanges. Institutional inflows via ETFs continue, keeping overall volume at a high level.
2. MACD: Golden cross on the 1-hour chart continues
→ Short-term momentum remains strong, but caution is advised due to overheating RSI levels.
3. MVRV: ~1.79 (up +0.02)
→ Unrealized profits are increasing, suggesting rising short-term profit-taking pressure.
4. Fear & Greed Index: 63 (up +2 | Greed)
→ Investor sentiment remains optimistic, with some FOMO (fear of missing out) emerging.
5. Open Interest: ~681,500 $BTC (+0.7%)
→ Strong institutional-led new long positions continue to support the market.
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💵 Stablecoin trends (vs. previous day):
📌 $USDT (Tether)
Market Cap: $158.5B (+0.63%)
Volume: ~$128.2B (+3.0%)
→ $1B newly issued, further boosting liquidity and demand.
📌 USDC (Circle)
Market Cap: $65.8B (+0.45%)
Volume: ~$16.1B (+2.5%)
→ Stable sentiment supported by ongoing banking license expectations.
📌 JPYC (JPY-pegged)
Market Cap: $15.62M (+0.26%)
→ Gradual increase driven by expanded domestic payment adoption.
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🌏 Notable Topics on X:
• White House officially announces crypto bill vote during the week of July 14 — a historic shift toward regulation and legalization
• Senator Lummis submits bill to reduce Bitcoin tax burden, supporting industry growth
• Bo Hines predicts digital asset industry could grow to $15–20 trillion
• Bitcoin Treasury Consortium plans to acquire 75% of DV8 shares via TOB, accelerating the "MicroStrategy model" in Asia
• Italy's Banca Sella starts stablecoin custody tests
• Peter Thiel backs a new crypto bank initiative
• WhiteRock Finance founder arrested in UAE for $30M Zkasino fraud case
• $1B in new $USDT issued, boosting liquidity
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✅ Overall Assessment:
• Realized Market Cap: ~$2.42T (up +1.7% from previous day)
• RSI: 70 (entering overbought zone)
→ xWIN Index Score: 67 points (±0)
→ Continuous institutional and ETF inflows, strong policy tailwinds, and DeFi/DEX expansion are bullish factors. However, short-term overheating requires caution — focus on buying the dip and phased profit-taking.
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📈 Strategy Tips:
• Buy-the-dip support range: $104,000–$105,500
• Profit-taking zone: $111,500–$115,000
• Caution line: Break below $101,000 = short-term bearish signal
→ Core strategy: Align with institutional flows and policy trends while maintaining a combination of dip buying and phased profit-taking. Watch macro risks and FOMO-driven moves carefully.
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