📊【xWIN Alt Index｜July 3, 2025, 7:00 JST】
🧮 xWIN Alt Index Score ($ETH / $BNB / $XRP / $ADA): 63 / 100 points (Change from previous day: +2)
This index is a short- to mid-term trend indicator looking one month ahead for major altcoins.
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🔍 Summary (Overall Altcoin Sentiment)
• Altcoin Season Index: 18 (Change from previous day: +2)
→ Bitcoin dominance continues, but capital is gradually returning to alts, especially $ETH and BNB. Selective accumulation is intensifying, shifting sentiment to slightly bullish in the short to mid-term.
• Altcoin 24H total volume: approx. $148.9 billion (Change from previous day: +3.3%)
→ Strength in $ETH and $BNB is supporting the overall market, while $XRP remains firm with legal and tech developments. $ADA shows a short-term surge but caution is still warranted.
• Fear & Greed Index: 53 (Change from previous day: +2 | Neutral → Slight Greed)
→ Sentiment is shifting slightly toward optimism, but short-term profit-taking pressure remains a concern.
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🪙 Individual Coin Analysis
1. $ETH (Ethereum)
• Current price: ~$2,418 (Change: -3.3%)
• Overview: Institutional capital inflows (Bit Digital, BitMine, BlackRock) and continuous ETF inflows provide mid- to long-term support. Pectra upgrade and the new ECF foundation are bullish factors. However, the $2,500 resistance remains tough in the short term.
👉 Score: 74 / 100 (Change: +2)
2. $BNB (Binance Coin)
• Current price: ~$657 (Change: +0.7%)
• Overview: Rising DEX volumes, CZ’s biotech donation, and proactive regulatory handling in Singapore are positive signals. Price is consolidating in a range, but strong fundamentals and brand value are supporting the lower end.
👉 Score: 65 / 100 (Change: +2)
3. $XRP (Ripple)
• Current price: ~$2.21 (Change: +1.2%)
• Overview: Positive developments include settlement expectations with the SEC, rumored U.S. banking license application, EVM sidechain launch, and ETF approval speculation. Upside potential remains, but watch for post-news pullbacks.
👉 Score: 69 / 100 (Change: +2)
4. $ADA (Cardano)
• Current price: ~$0.594 (Change: +10.1%)
• Overview: Sharp price surge supported by ETF optimism, airdrop hype, and whale accumulation. However, narrative gaps and rising competition pose risks. Short-term corrections likely after the rally.
👉 Score: 40 / 100 (Change: +2)
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✅ Overall Comments
• $ETH remains fundamentally strong mid- to long-term, but short-term profit-taking and the $2,500 barrier are key watch points.
• $BNB is benefiting from network growth and social contributions, maintaining strong accumulation interest.
• $XRP is supported by legal resolution hopes and tech advancements, but investors should watch for potential overextension.
• $ADA’s sharp move suggests a focus on dip-buying strategies; mid-term positioning adjustments are recommended considering ETF and partnership catalysts.
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✨ Today’s Key Points
• ETH: Institutional inflows and upgrades provide support; watch $2,500 resistance in the short term.
• BNB: Network activity and social impact strengthen its appeal; price remains range-bound with solid support.
• XRP: Strong fundamentals with legal clarity and tech progress, but watch for post-news selling.
• ADA: Sharp rally driven by ETF and whale buys, but potential for profit-taking requires cautious positioning.
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