📊【xWIN Index｜July 2, 2025, 7:00 JST】
🧮 xWIN Index Score: 64 / 100 points (down 2 points from the previous day)
This index is a short- to mid-term indicator looking one month ahead.
Details 👉 https://t.co/8kX80aBeIe
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🔍 Market Highlights:
1. 24H Trading Volume: approx. $77.2 billion (down 2.4% from the previous day)
→ Institutional and ETF-driven buying continues, but fund rotation out of tech stocks and USD weakness weigh on sentiment. Institutional appetite remains firm.
2. MACD: 1-hour chart maintains golden cross
→ Short-term bullish momentum remains but is gradually slowing down.
3. MVRV: approx. 1.74 (down 0.02)
→ Slight increase in profit-taking pressure; potential for short-term correction.
4. Fear & Greed Index: 56 (down 2 | Greed)
→ Investor sentiment remains optimistic, but overheating is easing.
5. Open Interest: approx. 668,400 $BTC (down 0.5%)
→ Post-leverage flush-out adjustments continue; institutional longs remain solid.
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💵 Stablecoin Trends (day-over-day):
📌 $USDT (Tether)
Market Cap: $157.3 billion (+0.13%)
Volume: approx. $120.3 billion (down 1.9%)
→ TRON-based liquidity keeps expanding, widening the gap with Ethereum.
📌 USDC (Circle)
Market Cap: $65.4 billion (+0.30%)
Volume: approx. $15.1 billion (down 1.7%)
→ Ongoing trust boost from bank charter application.
📌 JPYC (JPY-pegged)
Market Cap: $15.53 million (+0.19%)
→ Slight but steady growth in domestic Japanese usage.
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🌏 Notable X Highlights:
• Figma reveals $70M $BTC ETF holdings, with an additional $30M purchase approved
• Grayscale’s Digital Large Cap Fund receives spot ETF approval, covering $BTC, ETH, SOL, XRP, ADA
• President Trump hints at 30%+ tariffs on Japan, impacting US-Japan negotiations
• S&P500 hits new all-time high, but “Magnificent 7” stocks decline as funds rotate
• Binance $BTC open interest drops sharply, raising volatility risks
• BlackRock bought $3.85B worth of $BTC in June, July accumulation watched closely
• MicroStrategy expands $BTC holdings to 597,325 $BTC (approx. 3% of circulating supply)
• TRON daily $USDT transfer volume hits record $24.3B
• Twenty One Capital CEO: "Intend to buy as much $BTC as possible"
• South Africa’s Eskom explores $BTC mining support
• US Dollar Index drops -10.8%, worst first-half performance since 1973
• US Senate passes “Big Beautiful Bill,” heading to House for final vote
• Global stock market rally (ACWI): 52-week high breakout ratio hits decade-high
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✅ Overall Assessment:
• Realized Market Cap: approx. $2.34 trillion (up 0.9% from the previous day)
• RSI: 65 (still high, but room for gradual correction expanding)
→ xWIN Index Score: 64 points (down 2)
→ ETF and institutional-led long positions remain strong, but temporary correction mood rises due to US stock market rotations and geopolitical risks (tariffs, regulations). Base strategy remains dip-buying and staged profit-taking.
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📈 Strategy Tips:
• Dip-buying support range: $101,800–$103,500
• Profit-taking zone: $110,000–$113,500
• Caution line: below $98,500 = short-term bearish signal
→ Base strategy: ride ETF/institutional flows with dip-buying + staged profit-taking; stay alert to macro and political shifts.
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