WLFI Unlocks Countdown: Trump's 15.75% Whale Holdings, Can the Market Withstand "Presidential Selling Pressure"?

This morning, the $Trump family's crypto project, World Liberty Financial (WLFI), posted that a major news release is coming soon and hinted that it is related to the start of token transfers. Community enthusiasm for WLFI is surging again, with shouts of "something big is coming." In mid-June, news had already spread in the market that WLFI was about to start circulating early because the WLFI project team deleted the clause requiring a mandatory 12-month lock-up from the official website and added a domineering statement saying, "The company can modify and update the terms of service at any time." Affected by the news, the off-exchange price of WLFI once rose to $0.15, a 10x increase compared to the first round presale price ($0.015), and the current price has fallen back to around $0.12. With WLFI about to launch, its price prediction after launch has become a topic of general concern in the market. Odaily Planet Daily will review WLFI's tokenomics in this article and analyze its price and selling pressure after launch in conjunction with holding data for readers' reference. WLFI Presale Review: Total Funding Exceeds $550.0 million The total supply of WLFI is 100.00 billion, all of which are currently locked. WLFI has undergone three rounds of presales, with details as follows: The first round of WLFI presales began in October 2024, priced at $0.015 per token, with a total of 20.00 billion tokens (20% of the total supply). The first round of WLFI presales progressed slowly because the market was filled with a lot of FUD at this time, but after $Trump issued the token, WLFI's popularity gradually increased, and it finally successfully sold 20.00 billion WLFI tokens on January 20, 2025, raising $300.0 million. After the first round of presales ended, WLFI immediately launched the second round of presales, priced at $0.05 per token, with a total of 5.00 billion tokens (5% of the total supply). The second round of presales sold out on March 14, 2025, raising $250.0 million. The first two rounds of WLFI presales were open to the public, and the third round of presales was an institutional round, not open to the public, priced at $0.1 per token. It is currently known that DWF Labs subscribed for 250.00 million WLFI for $25.00 million on April 9, and a whale purchased a total of 800.00 million WLFI on June 4 and June 12, spending $80.00 million. The whale was once thought to be institution B2C2 Group, but this was later refuted. According to the above public information, WLFI sold a total of 26.05 billion tokens through three rounds of presales, accounting for 26.05% of the total supply. However, because the third round of presales is not open to the public, the actual presale data may be biased. WLFI's Holder Data and Selling Pressure Of the 100.00 billion WLFI tokens, excluding the 26.05% presale, there are still 73.95 billion (73.95% of the total supply) "missing." However, according to the $Trump 2025 financial disclosure document released by the White House (dated January 2025), $Trump holds 15.75 billion WLFI tokens through an ETH wallet, accounting for 15.75% of the total supply. The financial document calculates this portion of the value at around $1,000-15,000, but at the current off-exchange price of around $0.12, it is worth approximately $1.89 billion. Among WLFI's holders, another presence that cannot be ignored is Justin Sun. Justin Sun invested $75.00 million in WLFI through HTX-related addresses and TRON DAO between November 2024 and January 2025; according to public information, Justin Sun currently holds a total of 3.00 billion WLFI, accounting for 3% of the total supply. According to on-chain data, there are a total of 85,870 addresses holding WLFI tokens. Crypto blogger @pow_fan compiled the funding tiers of users participating in WLFI purchases. Although the data is as of May 27, it is still of reference value. He himself purchased $1.91 million worth of WLFI tokens. As shown in the figure above, if the number of addresses purchasing $0-1,000 reaches 66,910, accounting for 77% of the total number of purchasing addresses, the total number of purchases by this group of users is approximately 520.00 million, accounting for only 2% of the total number of purchases. Therefore, even if this part is fully circulated, it will not have a major impact on the overall market. On the other hand, although there are only 64 addresses with purchase funds of $1.00 million or more, the purchase amount accounts for 56.4%. WLFI Token Selling Pressure Therefore, it can be seen from the above data that WLFI is a token whose holdings are highly concentrated in the hands of large holders. This is both an advantage for pumping the price, but if it is sold off, it can instantly put pressure on the market, and retail investors will pay the bill for large holders. The circulating supply of tokens determines the selling pressure. The WLFI official has not announced whether WLFI tokens will be fully released at once, linearly unlocked, or specifically restricted for large holders if token transfers are opened. However, let's consider the extreme case of a one-time full release. Who among the major holders will become the selling pressure? According to holder data, the possible selling pressure will first come from $Trump (holding 15.75%), followed by large investors such as Justin Sun (holding 3%), and finally institutions such as DWF Labs (holding 0.25%). In fact, Justin Sun is unlikely to sell WLFI. Although Justin Sun has a habit of "turning around and selling HSR" and "dumping $TRUMP after dinner," this is also after the goal is achieved. Justin Sun's purpose in buying WLFI is to show loyalty to the $Trump family in order to clear obstacles for TRON's compliance and listing in the United States. Before this goal is achieved, Justin Sun will most likely choose to hold WLFI for fear of angering the $Trump family. The real selling pressure will come from $Trump and institutions. $Trump is not only the largest holder but also the largest selling pressure of WLFI because it is an indisputable fact that the $Trump family regards the crypto industry as an ATM (related reading: The Record of Monetizing Presidential Privileges: How the $Trump Family Uses $TRUMP Tokens to Harvest the Crypto Market?). It is only because he still has "value" to the crypto industry that crypto users have not launched large-scale protests and FUD. If these 15.75% of tokens really flow into the market quietly, it may give the market a heavy blow. WLFI will replicate the history of $TRUMP, but it may be difficult to reach the height of $TRUMP before the crash. WLFI Listing Market Cap Estimate So, how much can WLFI's price reach after it is listed? If the more than 26.00 billion presale tokens will all be in circulation, the circulating market cap will be $3.12 billion at the current off-exchange price of $0.12, equivalent to the market cap of Aptos, ranking 39th in crypto; if the price breaks through $0.5, the market cap will be $13.00 billion, surpassing HYPE, ranking 13th in crypto; if the price breaks through $1, the market cap will be $26.00 billion, and the circulating market cap will surpass the market cap of DOGE and TRX, ranking 8th in crypto. The price of $TRUMP, the $Trump family's previous token, reached a maximum of $82, and the circulating market cap at that time was approximately $13.00 billion, equivalent to WLFI's price breaking through $0.5. If combined with business comparisons, WLFI has a stablecoin product, USD 1, which can be compared with Circle: Circle's current market cap is $44.70 billion, and the circulating market cap is approximately $23.70 billion; based on this benchmark, the WLFI price will be around $0.8-1. Of course, there are also extremely optimistic people in the community who believe that WLFI will reach $0.47 after it is launched, then break through $4.7, and finally reach a height of $47. Why the number "47"? The reason may be that WLFI previously airdropped 47 USD1 to holders, and $Trump is now serving as the 47th President of the United States. [Odaily Planet Daily]