LNMTrader's Bulletin 📈 📋

Wednesday, June 25, 2025

🍜 SHORT-TERM FORECAST:

🔸June 25, 2025:

Bitcoin may test resistance around $108,000-$110,000.

If it breaks above, expect a push toward $112,000. If rejected, it could drop to support near $104,000-$105,500.

Volatility likely due to market sentiment and ETF inflows.

🔸June 26, 2025:

Continued consolidation between $104,000-$110,000 is possible.

A breakout above $111,000 could target $115,000; failure to hold $104,000 may see a dip to $101,200.

Disclaimer: The Bitcoin price forecast provided is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Bitcoin derivatives markets are highly volatile and the coin price can fluctuate significantly. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.

☕️ TL;DR: Trading Notes

🔹 Sideways Price Movement: Bitcoin has been trading in a relatively stable range in June 2025, with prices hovering around $104,500–$105,756, showing a lack of strong directional momentum.

🔹 Recent Price Recovery: After a weekend dip, Bitcoin reclaimed the $100,000 mark, trading at $105,323 as of June 25, 2025, with a 4% increase in the last 24 hours, indicating short-term strength.

🔹 Bull Market Debate: Analysts are divided on whether the bull market is over. Some, like Titan of Crypto, argue the bull cycle is still active, as Bitcoin’s 6% pullback from its all-time high of $112,000 is not indicative of a peak.

🔹 Bearish Concerns: CryptoQuant’s June 19 report warns of potential downside, suggesting Bitcoin could fall to $92,000 due to fading momentum and geopolitical tensions.

🔹 Whale Accumulation: Large Bitcoin wallets (holding 10+ $BTC) grew by 231 in the last 10 days, while smaller wallets (0.001–10 $BTC) declined by 37,465, a pattern often preceding bullish reversals.

🔹 Geopolitical Impact: Escalating tensions, such as the Israel-Iran conflict, have increased volatility, with Bitcoin behaving more like a risk asset (correlated to equities) than a safe haven like gold.

🔹 Macro Factors: The U.S. Federal Reserve’s decision to keep interest rates unchanged in June 2025 is seen as a potential bullish catalyst, though traders are cautious about macro uncertainties.

🔹 Institutional Interest: Growing corporate and institutional adoption, with 60 companies announcing Bitcoin investments between June 9–13, 2025, supports long-term bullish sentiment.

🔹 Technical Analysis: Bitcoin faces resistance at $106,500–$109,300, and a break above these levels with sustained volume could signal further gains, while support lies around $102,000–$104,000.

🔹 Market Sentiment: The lack of extreme bullish or bearish sentiment suggests the market is in a transitional phase, not yet at a peak, per the Bitcoin Cycle Indicator (IBCI).

🔹 Historical Context: Posts on X highlight Bitcoin’s 4-year cycle (3 years of growth, 1 year of consolidation), suggesting 2025 could see a 120% increase, potentially reaching $205,000.