📊【XWIN Index｜June 21, 2025 | 7:00 JST】
🧮 XWIN Index Score: 62 / 100 (Change: -3 points from previous day)
※ This index reflects mid-term market sentiment with a one-month outlook.
Details 👉 https://t.co/8kX80aBeIe
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🔍 Market Overview Highlights:
1. 24H Trading Volume: $148.6B (Change: -13.2%)
→ Retail panic selling and geopolitical risk are weighing on liquidity. ETF inflows continue, but market remains cautious.
2. MACD (4H): Golden Cross continues
→ Uptrend intact, but momentum is fading. Market awaits fresh catalysts.
3. MVRV: 1.76 (-0.03) | STH MVRV: 1.12
→ Profit-taking pressure persists, but institutional and whale accumulation supports downside. Capital flowing into $ETH and XRP.
4. Fear & Greed Index: 62 (Change: -3 | Greed)
→ Optimism remains, though geopolitical and macro uncertainties temper sentiment.
5. Open Interest: 678,450 $BTC (~$72.1B | Change: -1.3%)
→ Slight drop in open interest. Recent liquidations led to de-leveraging.
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💵 Stablecoin Trends (24H change):
📌 USDT (Tether)
Market Cap: $156.3B (-0.06%)
→ Continued demand on TRON and Aptos networks, but short-term flows cooling.
📌 USDC (Circle)
Market Cap: $64.8B (-0.31%)
→ Post-bill optimism waning. Still seen as a stable asset.
📌 JPYC (JPY-pegged)
Market Cap: $15.74M (-0.19%)
→ Hedge demand remains, with growing interest from both individuals and corporations.
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🌏 Trending Topics on X (formerly Twitter):
• US deploys 5 warships off Israel’s coast — heightened geopolitical tension
• US debt interest payments hit $1.2 trillion/year — surpassing defense & healthcare spending
• Massive sell pressure on Ethereum causes volatility spike
• Mexico’s 3rd-richest billionaire allocates 70% of portfolio to $BTC
• BlackRock continues to accumulate $ETH — becoming a macro asset
• Post-FOMC Open Interest decline signals “quiet reversal”
• Trump ready to sign GENIUS Act — full-scale crypto regulatory push begins
• Coinbase obtains MiCA license — first US exchange with EU-wide approval
• $BTC maintains high levels despite weak demand — mismatch between buyers & sellers
• Japan’s CPI hits +3.7%, rice prices surge +102% YoY — inflation worsening
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✅ Overall Assessment:
• Realized Cap: $961.8B (Change: -0.24%)
• RSI: 64 (Change: -2 | Moderately bullish zone)
→ XWIN Index Score: 62 (-3)
→ Retail selling and geopolitical stress push short-term correction. Institutions continue silent accumulation. Overall sentiment remains bullish, but caution is advised.
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📈 Strategic Insights:
• Buy-the-dip support: $103,500–$105,000
• Profit-taking zone: $110,000–$113,000
• Risk alert: Break below $102,000 = potential mid-term downtrend
→ Base strategy: Combine ETF-driven dip buying with phased profit-taking. Monitor ETH/XRP capital flows amid summer volatility and geopolitical pressure.
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