📊 [xWIN Index|June 16, 2025, 7:00 AM JST]
🧮 xWIN Index Score: 57 / 100 (Day-over-day: +1)
※This index is a short- to mid-term indicator based on projections for the Bitcoin market one month ahead.
Details 👉https://t.co/8kX80aAGSG
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🔍 Market Highlights:
1. 24H Trading Volume: Approximately $160.2B (Day-over-day: -3.1%)
→ Slight decline from the previous day’s peak, but remains active under heightened geopolitical risk. Large players are cautiously adjusting positions.
2. MACD (4H Chart): Bearish crossover continues
→ Selling pressure remains. Rebounds are limited; market lacks clear direction.
3. MVRV: 1.71 (DoD: -0.04) | STH MVRV: 1.09
→ Profit-taking continues; short-term trend remains in a cooling phase.
4. Fear & Greed Index: 60 (Day-over-day: +15|Greed)
→ Investor sentiment is shifting toward greed; potential for overconfidence emerging.
5. Open Interest: 656,800 $BTC (Approx. $69.2B|Day-over-day: -0.7%)
→ Ongoing long position trimming; spot ETF flows remain steady.
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💵 Stablecoin Trends (vs. previous day):
📌 $USDT (Tether)
Market Cap: $155.9B (+0.06%)
→ Continued capital inflows under geopolitical tension; high demand as a safe haven.
📌 $USDC (Circle)
Market Cap: $63.4B (+0.48%)
→ Growth driven by real-world use cases like Shopify integration.
📌 JPYC (JPY-pegged)
Market Cap: $15.57M (+0.32%)
→ Gaining ground as a hedge amid yen depreciation concerns.
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🌏 Trends on X:
• ETH/BTC bounced at historic support (0.018) → Possible alt season shift
• Shopify officially integrated $USDC payments (via MetaMask)
• Ethereum Foundation allocated $500K in legal support for TornadoCash devs
• Trump Media’s $BTC purchase plan approved by SEC
• JPMorgan CEO: “Dollar’s reign as global reserve currency may end within 40 years”
• BlackRock now holds 3% of all $BTC in circulation
• Long-term holders (LTHs) resume $BTC accumulation
• Coinbase & Gemini expected to secure MiCA licenses in EU
• Escalating Middle East tensions and canceled nuclear talks increase $BTC attention
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✅ Overall Assessment:
• Realized Market Cap: $946.2B (Day-over-day: -0.4%)
• RSI: 58 (Day-over-day: -4|Back to Neutral Zone)
→ xWIN Index Score: 57 (Day-over-day: +1)
→ While geopolitical and macro risks persist, capital continues shifting toward ETH. $BTC increasingly recognized as a "risk asset" within institutional portfolios.
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📈 Strategic Takeaways:
• Support Zone for Dips: $102,500–$104,500
• Profit-Taking Zone: $109,000–$112,000
• Alert Level: Break below $100,000 = potential sentiment deterioration
→ Core Strategy: “Distribute profits during rebounds + gradual reentry on dips”
→ Monitor for trend reversal signs carefully; volatility driven by news flow will be critical.
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