📊 xWIN Index｜June 15, 2025, 7:00 AM JST
🧮 xWIN Index Score: 56 / 100 (Down 3 points from previous day)
※This index is a short- to mid-term indicator, projecting market trends one month ahead.
Details 👉 https://t.co/8kX80aAGSG
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🔍 Market Highlights:
1. 24H Trading Volume: Approx. $166.5B (Down 3.8% from previous day)
→ Volume remains high despite a slight drop, driven by ongoing geopolitical tensions. Institutions and short-term players remain active.
2. MACD (4H chart): Bearish crossover continues
→ Downward bias remains intact. Limited short-term rebounds, with no clear trend reversal.
3. MVRV Ratio: 1.71 (Down 0.04)｜STH MVRV: 1.09
→ Profit-taking continues. Short-term market remains in a cooling phase.
4. Fear & Greed Index: 45 (Down 4｜Fear zone)
→ Sentiment shifts toward caution. Capital rotation into $ETH and SOL is becoming more pronounced.
5. Open Interest: 669,580 $BTC (Approx. $71.2B｜Down 0.7%)
→ Long positions continue to unwind. Meanwhile, spot ETF inflows remain strong.
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💵 Stablecoin Trends (24H):
📌 USDT (Tether)
• Market Cap: $155.9B (+0.06%)
• Commentary: Safe-haven demand remains high amid ongoing global uncertainty
📌 $USDC (Circle)
• Market Cap: $63.4B (+0.48%)
• Commentary: Continues to grow steadily on real-world utility, such as Shopify integration
📌 JPYC (JPY-pegged stablecoin)
• Market Cap: $15.57M (+0.32%)
• Commentary: Growing as a domestic safe-haven amid yen depreciation concerns
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🌏 Notable Trends on X:
• ETH/BTC rebounds from historic support (0.018) — potential start of altseason
• Shopify officially enables $USDC payments via MetaMask & Coinbase Commerce
• Ethereum Foundation pledges $500K to support TornadoCash developer’s legal defense
• SEC approves Trump Media’s $2.3B Bitcoin purchase plan
• JPMorgan CEO warns: USD reserve currency status could end within 40 years
• BlackRock now holds 3% of total $BTC supply — beyond ETF scale
• Long-term holders (LTH) quietly accumulate $BTC again
• Coinbase & Gemini set to obtain full EU licenses under MiCA
• Geopolitical risk spikes as U.S.–Iran nuclear talks are canceled
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✅ Summary & Market Assessment:
• Realized Market Cap: $946.2B (Down 0.4%)
• RSI: 58 (Down 4｜Returning to neutral zone)
→ xWIN Index Score: 56 (Down 3 points)
→ The market remains in risk-off mode, driven by geopolitical and macroeconomic pressures. While $ETH continues to attract capital flows, $BTC is increasingly treated as a “risk asset” rather than a “digital safe haven.”
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📈 Strategy Suggestions:
• Buy-the-dip zone: $101,000–$103,000
• Profit-taking zone: $108,000–$110,000
• Caution level: Break below $99,500 may trigger rapid sentiment deterioration
→ Core Strategy: “Staggered accumulation + partial profit-taking during rebounds”
→ Focus remains on monitoring for trend reversal signals. Volatility will be headline-driven.
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