📊【xWIN Index|June 12, 2025, 7:00 AM JST】
🧮 xWIN Index Score: 74 / 100 (Change: +1 from previous day)
※This index reflects a short- to mid-term outlook, forecasting Bitcoin’s trend one month ahead.
Details 👉 https://t.co/8kX80aBeIe
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🔍 Market Overview Highlights:
1. 24H Trading Volume: approx. $43.72 billion (24H change: +2.1%)
→ Trading activity remains strong, fueled by corporate buy-ins (GameStop, BlackRock, F Street) and reassuring CPI data.
2. MACD (1H): Strong golden cross continues
→ Momentum remains bullish, indicating an ongoing upward trend.
3. MVRV: 2.49 (+0.03) | STH MVRV: 1.23 (+0.01)
→ Profit-taking pressure remains but is offset by new capital and institutional support.
4. Fear & Greed Index: 64 (+2 | Greed)
→ Retail FOMO is rising. Social sentiment shows over twice as many positive $BTC mentions versus negative, indicating bullish exuberance.
5. Open Interest: approx. $8.85 billion (+2.0%)
→ Long positions from whales and ETH-led derivatives activity are increasing.
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💵 Stablecoin Market Overview (24H Change):
📌 USDT (Tether)
・Market Cap: $155.3 billion (+0.13%)
・Note: Continued demand as institutional $BTC entry capital.
📌 USDC (Circle)
・Market Cap: $62.4 billion (+0.48%)
・Note: Active rotation due to ETF and DeFi-related flows.
📌 JPYC (JPY-pegged)
・Market Cap: $15.43 million (+0.39%)
・Note: Gradual growth in regional use and corporate conversion demand.
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🌏 Trending Topics on X:
• 🇸🇦 Reports suggest Saudi Arabia is secretly acquiring $BTC and $ETH in multi-billion dollar amounts
• 🇺🇸 GameStop officially declares Bitcoin investment as part of its corporate strategy
• 🇧🇷 Brazil advances Bitcoin reserve legislation as a national strategy
• 🇩🇪 Germany’s Evertz Pharma adds 100 $BTC to its balance sheet
• 🇺🇸 Stripe acquires Privy to enter Web3/crypto space—major signal from payment giant
• 🇺🇸 GENIUS Act advancing in U.S. Senate—aims to promote crypto and stablecoin adoption
• 🇺🇸 U.S. CPI came in below expectations, boosting market confidence
• 🇺🇸 BlackRock purchased 667 $BTC via Coinbase—solidifying $BTC’s role as a macro asset
• 📊 $ETH surpasses $BTC in 24H futures trading volume—sign of alt-led rally
• 🐋 Whale long position continues (liquidation at $102,571)
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✅ Overall Assessment:
• Realized Market Cap: $949.1 billion (+0.81%)
• RSI: 73 (+2 | in overheated zone)
→ Index Score: 74 (+1 from yesterday)
→ Institutional and sovereign adoption continues to expand Bitcoin’s legitimacy. Bullish signals remain across both on-chain and technical indicators.
→ However, signs of overheating (RSI, MVRV) suggest it’s wise to combine “buy-the-dip” strategy with staggered profit-taking.
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📈 Strategic Insights:
• Buy-the-Dip Support Zone: $110,000–$111,800
• Profit-Taking Range: $113,800–$115,500
• Risk Level: Below $107,800 could trigger short-term pullback
→ Core Strategy: Continue “buy-the-dip” accumulation + execute profit-taking gradually. Institutional and sovereign Bitcoin accumulation supports sustained bullish momentum, while $ETH is increasingly taking the lead.
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