📊 [xWIN Index｜May 11, 2025, 7:00 JST]
🧮 xWIN Index Score: 71 / 100 (Day-over-day: -3)
※ This index reflects short-to-mid-term trends in the Bitcoin market, projecting one month ahead.
Details 👉 https://t.co/8kX80aBeIe
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🔍 Market Overview Highlights:
1. 24H Trading Volume: $38.88B (approx. 637,470 $BTC) 【-43.9% from previous day】
→ Significant volume decline. Retail investors are in wait-and-see mode, while institutional inflows via ETFs continue, albeit with signs of profit-taking.
2. MACD (1H): Death Cross Ongoing
→ Market remains range-bound at high levels, with weakening momentum. Short-term correction signals persist.
3. MVRV: 2.29 (as of May 11)
→ On-chain data shows unrealized profits are high; profit-taking pressure is rising.
4. Fear & Greed Index: 71 (Greed)
→ Up from 70. Market sentiment remains bullish, though overheating concerns are growing.
5. Open Interest: 637,470 $BTC (approx. $65.87B) 【-1.57% from previous day】
→ Overall market is in a consolidation phase. Binance and OKX lead position trimming.
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💵 Stablecoin Movements (see visuals):
📌 $USDT (Tether)
• Market Cap: $149.8B (+0.08%)
• Volume: $80.4B (▼-40.89%)
→ Liquidity remains but activity suggests a short-term shift to risk-off sentiment.
📌 USDC (Circle)
• Market Cap: $60.8B (+0.14%)
• Volume: $10.39B (▼-55.02%)
→ Stability maintained, though large trades are slowing.
📌 JPYC (JPY-Pegged)
• Market Cap: $14.66M (±0.00%)
• Volume: $7.85K (▼-74.40%)
→ Trading remains stagnant; market interest appears to have subsided for now.
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🌏 Trending on X (formerly Twitter):
• $BTC Price: $103,275 (24h ▲0.04%)
• Bitcoin surpasses Google and Amazon in market cap, now the 5th most valuable asset globally
• China sends top security advisor to U.S. for trade talks; geopolitical tensions in focus
• SEC reevaluating crypto ETF approval process (via Hester Peirce)
• BlackRock and Fidelity purchase over $100M in $BTC combined
• Meta announces stablecoin payments across platforms
• U.S. faces $7T bond rollover → macro instability growing
• ETH sees significant inflows, dominance shifts hint at ALTSEASON 2.0
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✅ Overall Assessment:
• Technically, MACD still signals caution, and trading volume has dropped significantly.
• On-chain data (MVRV) and ETF flows remain medium-term bullish, but short-term sentiment is overheated.
→ Index score: 71 (-3).
Recommended approach: Hold medium-term positions, prepare to buy dips, and manage short-term risks carefully.
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📈 Strategic Takeaways:
• $101,000–102,500: Potential dip-buy zones
• $105,000+: Take-profit zone where sellers may gain control
• Below $99,000: Momentum breakdown risk zone
→ Market sentiment is bullish, but corrections could come quickly. Stay flexible and manage exposure wisely.
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