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Barclays and Goldman Sachs expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates after July, with future employment data influencing the timing of the rate cuts.

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May 3, 2025

Based on the strong non-farm payroll data released on May 3, two major financial institutions, Barclays and Goldman Sachs, predict that the Federal Reserve's next rate cut may not occur until after July. Goldman Sachs expects three rate cuts of 25 basis points each in 2025, scheduled for July, September, and December, but also warned that if future employment data remains strong, the timing of rate cuts could be further delayed.

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