📊【xWIN Index｜April 30, 2025 | 7:00 JST】
🧮 xWIN Index Score: 73 / 100 (Day-over-day: +4)
※ This index is a proprietary short- to mid-term indicator predicting Bitcoin’s 1-month outlook.
Details 👉 https://t.co/8kX80aAGSG
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🔍 Market Highlights:
1. 24H Trading Volume: $25.08B (263.17K $BTC) [−21.4% from previous day]
→ Volume dropped from the previous surge, yet remains relatively high. Supported by $BTC purchases from GameStop and Cardone Capital.
2. MACD (1-Hour Chart): Uptrend continues (histogram turned positive)
→ Golden cross remains intact, showing short-term bullish momentum.
3. MVRV Ratio: 2.13 (as of April 28)
→ Overheating persists. Caution is advised amid FOMO signals.
4. Fear & Greed Index: 53 → 60 (Greed)
→ Sentiment has shifted toward greed, indicating increased investor risk appetite.
5. Open Interest: 664.62K $BTC (CME share: 20.25%)
→ Stable, suggesting balanced positioning after previous unwinding.
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💵 Stablecoin Overview (see images):
📌 $USDT (Tether)
• Market Cap: $148B (+0.49%)
• Volume: $57.02B (▼19.02%)
→ Massive minting yesterday sparked a spike in activity; today shows a cooldown.
📌 USDC (Circle)
• Market Cap: $62.12B (+0.18%)
• Volume: $9B (▼16.04%)
→ Boost from Mastercard payment news, but volumes remain modest.
📌 JPYC (Japanese Yen-Pegged)
• Market Cap: $14.89M (±0.00%)
→ Flat and quiet with zero 24H trading volume.
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🌏 Key Headlines from X:
• 🇺🇸 North Carolina Bitcoin Reserve Bill passes all committees (Bullish)
• 🇬🇧 UK unveils comprehensive crypto regulation (Bullish)
• 🇺🇸 GameStop announces $6.5B $BTC purchase (Strong Bullish Signal)
• 🇦🇪 Trump Tower Dubai to accept crypto payments (Bullish)
• 🚨 Record-breaking stablecoin minting ($20B in 15 minutes) signals incoming liquidity
→ Overall sentiment is strongly risk-on, driven by institutional and regulatory momentum.
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✅ Overall Assessment:
Bitcoin is trading at $95,377.
Despite minor pullbacks, the overall structure shows a firm uptrend.
Strong fundamentals including stablecoin inflows, regulatory progress (US/UK), and institutional buys point to a bullish shift in risk appetite.
However, overbought indicators (MVRV, sentiment) suggest position sizing and risk management remain essential.
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📈 Strategy Tips:
• Consider dip buying between $94,200–94,800
• Take partial profits above $96,300
• Cut losses below $93,000
• Gradual position building preferred over aggressive moves
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