Goldman Sachs US election prediction: Harris has a high chance of winning, but will become the "lame duck president".

Odaily Planet Daily News Goldman Sachs stated in a research report released this week that, according to the current situation, this year's U.S. election may result in a 'lame duck President Harris.' Goldman Sachs stated that currently, at the national polling level, Harris is leading Trump by approximately 1.5 percentage points and is leading in the key swing state of Pennsylvania. Overall, the probability of Harris winning in November is about 52%-54%. Since she took over the flag to confront Trump from Biden, the situation has been on the rise for over a month. Since August 1st this year, the probability of the Republican Party winning the election has decreased by 10 percentage points, while the probability of the Democratic Party winning but the Republican Party controlling both houses of Congress or at least one house has increased by 11 percentage points. Goldman Sachs also pointed out that although this is the most likely implicit scenario at present, the outcome still has a high degree of uncertainty. (Jinshi)