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QCP: Harris slightly gained the upper hand in the debate, and the market maintains a cautious attitude towards interest rate cuts.

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吴说
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Sep 14, 2024

QCP analysis indicates that the debate between Trump and Harris has become the focus of this week. Harris won the support of Taylor Swift, and Polymarket data shows her chances of winning are slightly above 50%. CPI data is in line with expectations (2.5%), but PPI is slightly below expectations (2.4%). The market's probability of a 25 or 50 basis point rate cut remains at 50/50. $BTC ETF shows inflows of funds, with Microstrategy increasing its holdings by 18,300 $BTC, bringing the total to 244,800 BTC. The options market has suddenly seen a resurgence of interest in ETH, with over 20 thousand contracts purchased.

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